Oil holds near five-month high in most bullish week since July

By Jessica Resnick-Ault

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Brent oil prices held near five-month highs on Friday, and were on track for the biggest weekly gain since late July, on forecasts for rising demand and the gradual restart of U.S. oil refineries.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries this week forecast higher demand for its oil in 2018 and pointed to signs of a tighter global market, indicating its deal with non-OPEC states to cut output is helping tackle a glut.

That was followed by a report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) saying the glut was shrinking thanks to strong European and U.S. demand, as well as production declines in OPEC and non-OPEC countries.

“This boost to the market is attracting fresh speculative length,” said Gene McGillian, director of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford.

To sustain current high prices, continued strength in demand is needed, he said, noting that a weak fourth quarter in the U.S. could prompt traders to back off of long positions.

Brent crude <LCOc1> was down 3 cents at $55.45 a barrel by 12:31 p.m. EDT (1731 GMT), in a volatile session that saw it stretch from an intraday low of $54.86 to a high of $55.85 a barrel.

The benchmark was on track for its third straight weekly gain, rising 3.1 percent so far, which would be the highest weekly rise since the end of July.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude <CLc1> was down 17 cents at $49.73 a barrel. The contract looked set for a 5 percent weekly gain, also its strongest in nearly two months.

“Prices have now advanced for the last two weeks off increased demand forecasts from both OPEC and the IEA combined with the near-term demand uplift expected as U.S. oil refineries seek to restart operations post-Hurricane Harvey,” analysts at Panmure Gordon said.

Oil investors eyed further impact from increasing crude demand from U.S. oil refineries restarting after hurricane outages.

On Wednesday, 13 of 20 affected U.S. refineries were at or near normal operating rates and another five were restarting or ramping up, according to IHS Markit. The largest U.S. refinery, Motiva Enterprises plant in Port Arthur, Texas, was at half its full capacity, the company said Wednesday.

Analysts at HSBC said that despite the U.S. refinery outages, 2017 was set to be an “extremely strong year” for oil demand growth, a key factor underpinning a rise in prices.

“We remain convinced of longer-term upside to crude prices. With the lack of new major project sanctions, we expect conventional non-OPEC supply to start declining post-2018,” they said.

They maintained their 2018 and 2019 Brent price assumptions at $65 and $70 a barrel, respectively.

Data on this week’s U.S. oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, was due at about 1 p.m. (1700 GMT). U.S. energy firms last week cut oil rigs for a third time in the past four weeks as a 14-month drilling recovery stalled, General Electric Co’s Baker Hughes energy services firm said.

(Additional reporting by Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo and Karolin Schaps in Amsterdam; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Susan Fenton)

Bitcoin bounces 20 percent after dipping below $3,000

By Jemima Kelly

LONDON (Reuters) – Bitcoin bounced by more than 20 percent in the space of just four hours on Friday, having skidded below $3,000 earlier as Chinese authorities ordered Beijing-based cryptocurrency exchanges to stop trading.

After a vertiginous climb to record highs close to $5,000 earlier this month, bitcoin had plunged almost 40 percent in the 12 following days, with the sell-off driven in large part by fears of China cracking down on the market as well as a warning from JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon that bitcoin was a “fraud”.

The rapidity of the fall – matched by losses across the hundreds of other cryptocurrencies that now rival bitcoin – had driven fears that a giant crypto-bubble was finally bursting. Bitcoin looked likely to record its worst week since 2013.

But after seven consecutive days of falls, bitcoin was up around 13 percent on the day by 1538 GMT at $3,637 on the U.S. Bitstamp exchange <BTC=BTSP>, around 22 percent up from its earlier low and leaving it just 13 percent down on the week.

Chinese exchanges were told by authorities to immediately notify users of their closure, and to stop allowing new user registrations as of Friday, according to a government notice.

But although Chinese exchanges used to dominate bitcoin trading – according to their reports – because of the fact that they did not charge fees, volumes have plunged since January, when Chinese authorities made fees mandatory.

That, industry experts said, means that although China is still important, the crackdown there would probably not be enough to cripple bitcoin, unless it was followed by exchange shut-downs in other parts of the globe.

“Chinese volumes account for less than 10 percent of global volume – they are no big deal,” said Charles Hayter, founder of cryptocurrency analysis website Cryptocompare.

Beijing-based platforms OkCoin and Huobi, which are among China’s biggest exchanges, said on Friday that they planned to stop yuan-based trading by Oct. 31, confirming earlier reports.

“Waiting for the axe to fall is worse than the actual event; leaked documents seem to be clearing up uncertainty,” said Hayter. “But also a bounce of this magnitude was on the cards after such steep losses.”

Shanghai-based BTCChina, a major Chinese bitcoin exchange, had said on Thursday it would stop all trading from Sept. 30, citing tightening regulation. Smaller Chinese bitcoin exchanges ViaBTC, YoBTC and Yunbi also announced similar closures on Friday.

(Reporting by Jemima Kelly; Editing by Gareth Jones)

Germany’s Merkel sees case for European fund to aid reform

PARIS (Reuters) – German Chancellor Angela Merkel underlined her support for a European Monetary Fund in an interview with European newspapers on Friday and said she could envisage financial support being granted to EU member states to help with reforms.

“We are working on a banking union and a European monetary fund so that we can act, under rigorous conditions, in crisis situations,” she told France’s Ouest-France newspaper and a German newspaper group.

“(I can see) the provision of financial assistance for reform projects in some countries,” she said. “But I don’t see for the moment a convincing case for a European tax.”

(Writing by Luke Baker; editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta)

Wall St unmoved by economic data, N. Korea missile test

By Sruthi Shankar

(Reuters) – U.S. stocks were little changed on Friday, but the Dow eked out another record high, as investors shrugged off North Korea’s latest missile test and domestic economic data that did little to move the needle on the timing of an interest rate hike.

The major indexes are hovering at record high levels, with investors now awaiting the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Sept. 19-20 to gauge the future path of monetary policy.

No monetary policy change is expected at the meet, but the odds of a December rate hike jumped on Thursday after a strong report on consumer prices, a closer read on inflation, which the central bank is closely monitoring.

U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell last month, the Commerce Department said, while another report showed industrial output in August notched its first decline since January.

Both readings included the impact of Hurricane Harvey.

Earlier in the day, Pyongyang fired a second missile in as many weeks over Japan, which drew widespread criticism from global leaders, but barely moved shares and other risk assets.

“I think the market is kind of getting desensitized to that,” said Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James in St. Petersburg, Florida.

“But it can always use that as an excuse in an overbought situation, to take some pressure off.”

At 9:39 a.m. ET (1339 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI> was up 28.81 points, or 0.13 percent, at 22,232.29, the S&P 500 <.SPX> was down 0.45 points, or 0.01 percent, at 2,495.17.

The Nasdaq Composite <.IXIC> was down 5.31 points, or 0.08 percent, at 6,423.77.

The three major indexes were on track to log gains for the week, with the Dow poised for its best week in more than 8 months.

Despite geopolitical concerns and uncertainty regarding interest rates, the Dow has gained more than 12 percent this year, driven by strong corporate earnings reports and optimism that President Donald Trump will cut business taxes.

Eight of the 11 major S&P sectors were higher on the day, led by the telecom services sector’s <.SPLRCL> 0.45 percent rise.

Oracle <ORCL.N> fell 5.83 percent after the company’s disappointing profit forecast and indications of a slowing cloud business. The stock was the biggest drag on the S&P.

United Continental <UAL.N>, Spirit Airlines <SAVE.O> and American Airlines <AAL.O> fell between 1.20 percent and 2.10 percent after JPMorgan downgraded all three stocks.

Volatility may rise on as Friday, which marks the quadruple witching day, when investors unwind interests in futures and options contracts prior to their expiration.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 1,424 to 1,074. On the Nasdaq, 1,305 issues fell and 1,022 advanced.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D’Souza)

Olympics: Ovechkin concedes that his Pyeongchang dream is over

By Frank Pingue

(Reuters) – Alex Ovechkin has given up on his dream of playing for the Russian ice hockey team at the 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, a conclusion he begrudgingly accepted with the NHL refusing to halt its season to accommodate the event.

Ovechkin had long said he would compete in South Korea even if he was the only NHL player there but the International Ice Hockey Federation said this week anyone under contract with the league will not be able to play in the Games.

“I said every time I was asked since last Olympics that nobody is going to tell me I can’t play because my country was going to be allowed to ask me,” Ovechkin said in a statement released through the NHL’s Washington Capitals.

“Now the IIHF and NHL say my country is not allowed to ask anybody in the NHL to play and there is nothing to talk about anymore.”

NHL players have competed in the Olympics since 1998 but the league, unhappy over the prospect of shutting down its season for almost three weeks, said in April it was not planning to send its players to South Korea.

Several players had said they would go irrespective of the NHL’s decision but none were more outspoken than Ovechkin, who is one of the greatest Russian players of all time and one of the NHL’s most marketable names.

“This is not just about me but all the NHL players who want to play and have a chance to win Gold for their country,” said Ovechkin. “Me, my team mates and all players who want to go all lose. So do all the fans of hockey with this decision that we are not allowed to be invited.

“NHL players in the Olympics is good for hockey and good for Olympics. It sucks that will we not be there to play!!”

Ovechkin has competed at the last three Olympics, his best result coming in 2006 when Russia finished fourth. But the 31-year-old forward is hopeful of returning to the Olympic stage at the 2022 Beijing Games.

“There is nothing like Olympic Games. It is still my dream to win an Olympic Gold medal for my country,” Ovechkin said. “I hope things will change and all of us will have a chance to go again in 2022.”

(Reporting by Frank Pingue in Toronto, editing by Ed Osmond)

Ex-Trump aide Manafort’s spokesman goes before Russia probe grand jury

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The spokesman for President Donald Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort was testifying before a federal grand jury on Friday in connection with special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into possible collusion between Trump’s campaign and Russia.

Jason Maloni, the founder of the crisis public relations firm JadeRoq LLC, smiled as he entered the federal courthouse on Friday.

Mueller is investigating Manafort’s financial and real estate dealings as well as his prior work for the Party of Regions, a pro-Russian political party in Ukraine, that backed former Ukrainian leader Viktor Yanukovich.

Mueller’s investigators are examining potential money laundering by Manafort, Trump’s former campaign manager, as well as other possible financial crimes, sources have told Reuters.

Manafort is considered a major focus of Mueller’s investigation due to his senior role in Trump’s presidential campaign.

Manafort was also present at a June 2016 meeting with Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya who offered to provide damaging information about Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

Others at that meeting included the president’s son, Donald Trump, Jr., and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, among others.

Russia has denied any meddling in the election and Trump has denied any collusion.

Earlier this year, Manafort’s Virginia home was raided by FBI agents.

Maloni, as Manafort’s spokesman, had told reporters that Manafort “has consistently cooperated with law enforcement and other serious inquiries and did so on this occasion as well.”

(Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

Key Republican senator doubts 15 percent corporate tax rate can be reached

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The head of the Senate Finance Committee said on Friday he doubted negotiators trying to craft a tax reform bill could reach President Donald Trump’s goal of dropping the U.S. corporate tax rate to 15 percent.

“I sincerely doubt that we will be able to get to that level on corporate tax rates,” Republican Senator Orrin Hatch, whose panel has jurisdiction over the U.S. tax code in the Senate, told CNBC.

Two women injured by hammer-wielding attacker in eastern France

LYON, France (Reuters) – Two women were injured on Friday by an attacker wielding a hammer and shouting Allahu Akbar in the eastern French town of Chalon-sur-Saone in Burgundy, local officials said.

The local prosecutor’s office said witnesses of the attack in a public park of the town center heard the attacker shout Allahu Akbar while hitting the women, who were taken to hospital but whose life is not in danger.

Prosecutors said they were treating the incident as a possible terror attack, but also did not rule out the possibility the attacker was deranged.

The attacker was still on the run on Friday afternoon, police said.

(Reporting by Catherine Lagrange, writing by Michel Rose; Editing by Leigh Thomas)

Irish PM not optimistic Brexit talks will move onto next stage in October

CLONMEL, Ireland (Reuters) – Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar on Friday said he was not optimistic that Britain and the European Union will have made enough progress by an October leaders’ summit to launch negotiations on the post-Brexit relationship.

The EU has said that talks on the future relationship can only start after the other 27 EU governments are satisfied that “sufficient progress” has been made on the terms of Britain’s departure.

“At this moment in time, I’m not optimistic that it will be possible to come to the view in October that we’re able to move onto the next phase of talks,” Varadkar told a news conference. “As of now enough progress hasn’t been made but that can change.”

Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney, who was also at the briefing said the EU was unlikely to agree to move to the second phase of the negotiations “unless there is a significant further move from the British government”.

The summit is taking place on Oct. 19-20.

(Reporting by Padraic Halpin; Writing by Conor Humphries; Editing by Alison Williams)

Improvised ‘terrorist’ bomb on packed London commuter train injures 22

  • By Kevin Coombs and Yann Tessier

    LONDON (Reuters) – A home-made bomb on a packed rush-hour commuter train in London engulfed a carriage in flames and injured 22 people on Friday in what police said was Britain’s fifth terrorism incident this year, but apparently failed to fully explode.

    Passengers on board a train heading into the capital fled in panic as the fire erupted at Parsons Green underground station in West London at 8.20 a.m. (0720 GMT).

    Some suffered burns while others were injured in a stampede to escape. The National Health Service said 22 people had been taken to London hospitals, most believed to be suffering flash burns. None were thought to be in a serious condition, the ambulance service said.

    “We now assess that this was a detonation of an improvised explosive device,” Britain’s top counter-terrorism officer Mark Rowley told reporters.

    Police said officers were making urgent inquiries involving hundreds of detectives backed by the intelligence services to find out who was responsible.

    Rowley declined to say if the suspected bomber had been on the train, saying it was a live investigation.

    Pictures taken at the scene showed a slightly-charred white bucket with a supermarket freezer bag on the floor of one train carriage. The bucket, still intact, was in flames and there appeared to be wires coming out of the top.

    “I was on second carriage from the back. I just heard a kind of whoosh. I looked up and saw the whole carriage engulfed in flames making its way toward me,” Ola Fayankinnu, who was on the train, told Reuters.

    “There were phones, hats, bags all over the place and when I looked back I saw a bag with flames.”

    Charlie Craven said he had just got on the train when the device exploded.

    “Literally within three seconds of putting your bag down, the doors just closing, we hear a loud explosion,” he told Reuters. “I looked around and saw this massive fireball … coming down the carriage.”

    He said terrified passengers fled, fearing a second explosion or a gunman, with people being knocked to the ground and crushed in the stampede to escape.

    Outside the station, a woman was carried off on a stretcher with her legs covered in a foil blanket while others were led away swathed in bandages.

    “KEEP CALM”

    In 2005, 52 people were killed when four British Islamists carried out suicide bomb attacks on three London underground trains and a bus and this year Britain has suffered four attacks which killed a total of 36 people.

    Prime Minister Theresa May returned to London to chair a meeting of Britain’s emergency response committee later on Friday.

    “My thoughts are with those injured at Parsons Green and the emergency services who, once again, are responding swiftly and bravely to a suspected terrorist incident,” May said.

    Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson said people should “keep calm” and continue their lives as normal.

    “Another attack in London by a loser terrorist,” U.S. President Donald Trump said on Twitter. “These are sick and demented people who were in the sights of Scotland Yard. Must be proactive!”

    British police have not said anything about who could be behind the attack.

    However, a U.S. law enforcement official and a U.S. intelligence source, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the attack might well have been carried out in response to recent Islamic State video messages urging would-be militants to attack trains and other public transport.

    The officials said the device “doesn’t look very professionally built” and said its rudimentary design suggested the attack was carried out by someone inspired by Islamic State propaganda rather than by a well-trained cell.

    UK security services believe those behind some of the militant incidents in Britain this year had probably been acting alone and likely radicalized by online material.

    In March this year, a man drove a car into pedestrians on London’s Westminster Bridge killing four, before he stabbed a policeman to death outside parliament.

    A further 22 people were killed in a suicide bombing at a pop concert in Manchester in May and the following month three Islamist militants drove into pedestrians on London Bridge before stabbing people at nearby restaurants and bars, killing eight.

    In June, a van was driven into worshippers near a mosque in north London which left one man dead.

    On Thursday, figures showed there had been a record number of terrorism-related arrests in the last year and earlier this week Britain’s most senior counter-terrorism officer Mark Rowley said there had been a shift-change in the threat.

    In the three years until March this year, police foiled 13 potential attacks but in the next 17 weeks, there were the four attacks while the authorities thwarted six others, Rowley said.

    (Additional reporting by Kate Holton, Mark Hosenball, Elizabeth Piper, Paul Sandle, Costas Pitas and Mitch Phillips; writing by Michael Holden; editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Janet Lawrence)