Energy shares lift Dow, S&P techs drag Nasdaq

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S.,

By Tanya Agrawal

(Reuters) – The S&P 500 and the Dow hit record highs on Monday, fueled by energy shares, while the Nasdaq was lower, dragged down by technology stocks, a day ahead of the Fed’s two-day meeting.

Oil prices gained as much as 6.5 percent to an 18-month high after OPEC and some of its rivals reached their first deal since 2001 to jointly reduce output to try to tackle global oversupply and boost prices.

The S&P energy index was the top performing sector with a 1.7 percent rise. Oil major Exxon was up 2.54 percent, providing the biggest boost to the Dow and S&P. Chevron rose 2.2 percent.

President-elect Donald Trump’s expected agenda of economic stimulus and reduced taxes and regulations has fueled a market rally, with the benchmark S&P 500 rising 5.6 percent since Nov. 8 to Friday’s close.

The Dow has closed at record highs 14 times since the election.

“The market has been rising on the incoming administration’s proposals, but how many of those actually pass through Congress remains to be seen,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.

“Investors are expecting the Fed to hike rates but are more interested in the tone of the statement.”

Market participants are keeping a close watch on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s last meeting for the year, beginning Tuesday, with a statement from Fed Chair Janet Yellen on Wednesday.

At 10:58 a.m. ET (1558 GMT) the Dow Jones industrial average was up 32.96 points, or 0.17 percent, at 19,789.81, the S&P 500  was down 1.68 points, or 0.074352 percent, at 2,257.85 and the Nasdaq Composite was down 30.87 points, or 0.57 percent, at 5,413.63.

Six of the 11 major S&P sectors were higher.

The consumer discretionary led the decliners with a 0.82 percent fall, weighed down by a 1.24 percent drop in Amazon’s shares.

The industrials sector was down 0.58 percent, dragged down by defense stocks.

Lockheed Martin declined 3.9 percent at $249.22 after Donald Trump tweeted that the company’s F-35 program and costs were “out of control”. Other defense stocks, such as General Dynamics, Raytheon, and Northrop Grumman, were down between 2.7-4.5 percent.

Viacom fell 8.5 percent to a two-month low of $35.35 after Sumner Redstone’s privately-held National Amusements withdrew its merger proposal for CBS and Viacom, according to a source familiar with the situation. CBS was down 2.7 percent.

Ophthotech slumped 84.9 percent to a life-low of $5.85 after Novartis said a combination of its eye drug along with the company’s did not produce better outcomes.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by 1,793 to 1,058. On the Nasdaq, 1,808 issues fell and 887 advanced.

The S&P 500 index showed 59 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 165 new highs and 16 new lows.

(Reporting by Tanya Agrawal; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)

Oil surges to one-and-a-half-year high, Fed rate increase looms

A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at PetroChina's petrol station in Beijing, China,

By Marc Jones

LONDON (Reuters) – Oil prices surged to their highest since mid-2015 and U.S. Treasury yields hit a more than two-year peak on Monday after the world’s top crude producers agreed to the first joint output cut since 2001.

Coming at the start of a week when the United States is expected to raise interest rates for the only the second time since the global financial crisis, the weekend agreement between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and key non-OPEC states set the markets alive.

Brent oil futures soared 5 percent to top $57 a barrel for the first time since July 2015 and U.S. crude leapt above $54 a barrel to send global inflation gauges spiking as well.

There was particular surprise as Saudi Arabia, the world’s number one producer, said it may cut its output even more than it had first suggested at an OPEC meeting just over a week ago.

“The original OPEC deal pointed to a fairly lumpy 3 percent cut (in production), so this suggests there is a bit more upside for oil prices,” said Neil Williams, chief economist at fund manager Hermes.

On the rise in bond yields, which tend to set global borrowing costs, he added: “The Fed hike is mostly baked in so when we do get it, it will be more about the statement.”

European oil companies jumped more than 2 percent on the oil surge and helped the pan-regional STOXX 50 index add 0.1 percent, having just had its best week in exactly five years.

Bond markets in contrast were under heavy pressure. Euro zone government bond yields were sharply higher with German Bunds up 5 basis points at 0.40 percent as U.S. yields topped 2.5 percent for the first time since October 2014.

“We have seen OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreeing, which is boosting reflation expectations around the world,” said Chris Weston, an institutional dealer with IG Markets.

In another sign of the reflation trade, breakeven rates –the gap between yields of five-year U.S. debt and a matching tenor in inflation-protected securities — were at two-month highs.

Wall Street futures, meanwhile, pointed to the main U.S. indexes barely budging when they resume, having enjoyed an uninterrupted gain of nearly 4 percent over the past six sessions.

FED UP

Focus was also on the currency markets as the dollar rose to its highest since February against the Japanese yen, before what is almost certain to be the first rate hike of the year from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

Japan’s yen also tends to suffer when oil prices rise, since the country is a major importer.

The Norwegian crown, Canadian dollar and Russia rouble were the big gainers from the oil deal. The rouble rose almost 2 percent against both the dollar and euro as Russia shares, which have rocketed almost 90 percent since January, hit the latest in a string of record highs.

Overnight in Asia, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 0.5 percent after posting its biggest weekly rise in nearly three months last week.

China stocks suffered their biggest fall in six months as blue chips were knocked by fresh regulatory curbs to rein in insurers’ aggressive stock investments and rising bond yields prompted profit-taking in equities.

The blue-chip CSI300 index fell 2.4 percent, to 3,409.18 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 2.5 percent to 3,152.97 points.

China’s insurance regulator, which recently warned it would curb “barbaric” acquisitions by insurers, said late on Friday it had suspended the insurance arm of China’s Evergrande Group from conducting stock market investment.

Concerns were also rumbling about U.S.-Sino relations after Donald Trump re-ignited controversy over Taiwan.

“I fully understand the ‘one China’ policy, but I don’t know why we have to be bound by a ‘one China’ policy unless we make a deal with China having to do with other things, including trade,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News.

Emerging markets are already bracing for a difficult run if U.S. rate hikes push up the dollar and global bond yields.

Turkey’s lira has borne the brunt of much of the pressure in recent weeks, and it took another 1 percent hit alongside a sharp fall in Turkish bonds after data showed the country’s economy suffering its first contraction since 2009.

Gold, meanwhile, which had a bumper first half of 2016, hit its lowest level since early February at $1,152 an ounce.

(Additional reporting by Saikat Chatterjee in Hong Kong, editing by Larry King)

Wall Street hits new high as post-election rally roars ahead

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S.,

By Yashaswini Swamynathan

(Reuters) – Wall Street’s post-election rally showed no signs of fatigue as the three major indexes hit all-time highs on Thursday.

Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president last month sparked euphoria on Wall Street, with investors chasing stocks that are likely to gain from his proposals to spend more on infrastructure and simplify industry regulation.

“Investors are getting excited over the prospects of a new administration, a fresh mindset and a man who knows how to do business,” said Andre Bakhos, managing director at Janlyn Capital in Bernardsville, New Jersey.

“While there was also a technical aspect to the move yesterday … the mindset right now is that any pullback is seen as bullish. It’s an opportunity to buy into the market, not sell.”

The Dow industrials, the Dow Transport, the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 indexes closed at record levels on Wednesday.

The European Central Bank unexpectedly reduced its asset purchase plans to 60 billion euros ($64 billion) from the current 80 billion euros on Thursday, but reserved the right to increase buying once again.

Adding to the bullish tone was a report that showed the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell from a five-month high last week, pointing to a robust labor market and building on a recent spate of strong economic data.

At 9:42 a.m. ET the Dow Jones industrial average was up 39.58 points, or 0.2 percent, at 19,589.2. It hit a record high of 19,592.95 – its 10th since the Nov.8 election.

The S&P 500 was up 2.13 points, or 0.1 percent, at 2,243.48, slightly below its high of 2,243.56.

The Nasdaq Composite was up 8.60 points, or 0.16 percent, at 5,402.36, easing from a high of 5,403.88.

Eight of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors were lower, but the losses were offset by a 0.85 percent rise in financials and gains in materials and energy.

Bank of America, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo rose between 0.9 percent and 1.6 percent, boosting the S&P 500.

Investors, however, are likely to tread cautiously ahead of the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week, where traders see a more than 90 chance of an interest rate hike.

Lululemon soared 17.3 percent to $70.20 following the yoga and leisure apparel retailer’s reported of a better-than-expected quarterly profit.

Costco rose 2.5 percent to $157.86 in thin trading after the warehouse club retailer reported a quarterly profit that beat analysts’ expectations.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by 1,317 to 1,289. On the Nasdaq, 1,141 issues rose and 1,126 fell.

The S&P 500 index showed 83 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 173 new highs and five new lows.

(Reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva)

Dow hits record high as financial stocks rise

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S.,

By Tanya Agrawal

(Reuters) – The Dow Jones Industrial average opened at a record high on Monday, driven by financial stocks, after the index capped off its best week since 2011 following Donald Trump’s unexpected victory in the U.S. presidential election.

Since Trump’s triumph last Tuesday, investors have been betting on his campaign promises to simplify regulation in the health and financial sectors and boost spending on infrastructure.

The financial index rose 2.18 percent to its highest level since 2008. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan provided the biggest boost to both the S&P 500 and the Dow.

The Nasdaq Composite was little changed, weighed down by tech giants Apple, Facebook and Microsoft.

Stock markets around the world were affected by a continued selloff in the global bond market as investors looked for more clarity regarding Trump’s policies.

The risk of faster domestic inflation and wider budget deficits if Trump goes on a spending binge sent yields on U.S. Treasury and other benchmark global bonds higher. The dollar index surged to an 11-month high.

Yields on the U.S. 10-year Treasury notes climbed to their highest since January on Monday at 2.30 percent, while 30-year paper shot above 3 percent.

“The bond market could subject the Trump rally to a halt,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial in New York.

“The prospect of higher inflation due to higher fiscal spending under the Trump administration has caused bonds to sell off and while higher inflation is good for the U.S. economy in the long run, it is seen as a negative factor in the short term because this market is used to near zero interest rates.”

At 9:45 a.m. EDT the Dow Jones industrial average was up 44.14 points, or 0.23 percent, at 18,891.8.

The S&P 500 was up 2.23 points, or 0.1 percent, at 2,166.68.

The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.67 points, or 0.01 percent, at 5,236.44.

Six of the 11 major S&P sectors were lower, with the utilities index’s 0.93 percent fall leading the decliners.

A host of U.S. Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to make appearances on Monday, including Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker and San Francisco Fed President John Williams.

The central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates at its December meeting, with traders pricing in an 81 percent chance, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said on Friday economic growth prospects appear strong enough for a gradual hike in interest rates.

Oil prices were at around three-month lows as the prospect of another year of oversupply and weak prices overshadowed chances that OPEC would reach a deal to cut output. [O/R]

Harman International rose 25.5 percent to $109.99 after Samsung Electronics announced an $8 billion deal to buy the company.

Mentor Graphics surged as much as 18.9 percent to a record high of $36.50 after Siemens agreed to buy the company in a $4.5 billion deal.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 1,503 to 1,281. On the Nasdaq, 1,654 issues rose and 822 fell.

The S&P 500 index showed 65 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 291 new highs and 10 new lows.

(Reporting by Tanya Agrawal; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

Wall St stumbles as FBI to review more Clinton emails

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) shortly after the opening bell in New York

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. stocks erased early gains and turned negative on Friday after the head of the FBI said it will review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s private email use.

Each of the three major indexes on Wall Street fell to session lows after FBI Director James Comey said in a letter to several congressional Republicans that the agency had learned of the existence of emails that appeared to be pertinent to its investigation. The election is scheduled to take place in 11 days, on Nov. 8.

“The market turned south the minute the headline hit the tape that the FBI is all of a sudden looking at (Hillary Clinton’s) emails again,” said Ken Polcari, Director of the NYSE floor division at O’Neil Securities in New York.

“The fact they are looking again just raises the prospect that once again they might find something, so the market turned south because it is expecting a Clinton win.”

Wall Street had been higher for most of the session after economic data showed the U.S. economy grew 2.9 percent in the third quarter, its fastest pace in two years, and upbeat earnings from Google parent company Alphabet Inc.

Alphabet shares were up 0.6 percent at $821.85.

While the report supports the case for an interest rate hike, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to make a move at its meeting next week, as it falls just days ahead of the U.S. presidential election.

The market is largely expecting the central bank to hike rates in December, with the odds of a rate increase that month  at 73.6 percent, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

Investors also digested the latest wave of earnings reports with the hope the latest quarter snaps a year-long earnings recession.

Nearly 73 percent of the S&P 500 companies that reported have topped Wall Street expectations, with growth for the quarter now expected to be 3 percent, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. The quarter had been expected to show a decline of 0.5 percent at the start of October.

On the negative side, Amazon.com was set for its worst day in nearly nine months, falling 4.8 percent to $778.74 after the online retailer warned that heavy investments in the crucial holiday quarter would hurt profits. The stock was the top drag on the S&P and the Nasdaq.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> fell 37.49 points, or 0.21 percent, to 18,132.19, the S&P 500 lost 9.81 points, or 0.46 percent, to 2,123.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 29.05 points, or 0.56 percent, to 5,186.93.

Each of the major indexes were poised to post a decline for the week.

Amgen plunged 10.1 percent to $144.30 after the world’s largest biotechnology company’s sales for its flagship drug disappointed investors and analysts.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.65-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.37-to-1 ratio favored decliners.

The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 42 new highs and 112 new lows.

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Nick Zieminski)

Nasdaq hits record high after Fed leaves rates unchanged

Floor governor Giacchi gives a price for Noble Midstream Partners LP, during the company's IPO on the floor of the New York Stock

By Yashaswini Swamynathan

(Reuters) – The Nasdaq hit a record intraday high on Thursday amid broad gains in U.S. stocks, a day after the Federal Reserve stood pat on interest rates.

While the risks to economic outlook were roughly “balanced”, the Fed maintained rates as inflation continued to run below its 2 percent target and members saw room for improvement in the labor market.

The central bank slowed the pace of future hikes and cut its longer run interest rate forecast to 2.9 percent from 3 percent, but sent a strong signal for a move by the end of this year.

“The Fed probably appeared less hawkish than what the markets had expected,” said Ryan Larson, head of equity trading at RBC Global Asset Management in Chicago. “I think the market continues to be focused on the Fed pushing a hike for later as a good thing rather than bad.”

The consensus among economists is for a hike in December as the Fed’s November meeting comes right around the U.S. Presidential elections.

The probability of a November hike stands at a modest 12.4 percent, and rises to 58.4 percent for December, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

The dollar index dropped 0.6 percent on Thursday, and was on track to mark the second straight day of losses after the central bank’s decision.

Oil prices rose about 1.8 percent as the dollar fell and U.S. crude inventories recorded a surprise drop.

At 9:36 a.m. ET (1336 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 132.52 points, or 0.72 percent, at 18,426.22.

The S&P 500 was up 15.01 points, or 0.69 percent, at 2,178.13.

The Nasdaq Composite was up 32.98 points, or 0.62 percent, at 5,328.22, after rising as much as 0.65 percent to a record of 5329.92.

The S&P energy index surged 1.33 percent and was the top gainer among the 11 major sectors of the benchmark index.

Adding some support to the Fed’s plans for at least one hike this year was a report that showed the number of Americans applying for unemployment last week fell to a two-month low.

Shares of Apple rose 0.9 percent to $114.56 and was the top influence on the S&P and the Nasdaq after Nomura and RBC raised their price targets.

Red Hat rose 6.7 percent to $82.27 after the Linux operating system distributor reported second-quarter revenue and profit that beat market expectations.

One weak spot was Jabil Circuit, which dropped nearly 6 percent to $22.34 after the contract electronics maker said it intended to realign its business at a cost of $195 million over two years.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 2,552 to 185. On the Nasdaq, 1,804 issues rose and 429 fell.

The S&P 500 index showed 26 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 80 new highs and three new lows.

(Reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan in Bengaluru; Editing by Don Sebastian)

Wall St. declines as growth worries, oil weigh

Board showing different value of monies

By Marcus E. Howard

(Reuters) – Wall Street stocks fell in afternoon trading on Tuesday as investors faced continued uncertainty in Europe and tumbling oil prices weighed on energy shares.

The Bank of England said the outlook for Britain’s financial stability after its June 23 vote to leave the European Union, dubbed Brexit, was “challenging” and said it would lower the amount of capital that banks were required to hold in reserve in order to allow them to keep lending.

“After a surprisingly big bounce last week, I think we’re in a little bit of a risk-off trading today – the uncomfortable feeling that maybe all is not fully well given Brexit,” said Jeffrey Carbone, senior partner, Cornerstone Financial Partners, in Cornelius, North Carolina.

Seven of the 10 major S&P sectors were lower. The energy sector <.SPNY> fell 2.4 percent. The materials index <.SPLRCM> was down 2 percent.

The financial sector <.SPSY> was down 1.9 percent with JPMorgan <JPM.N>, Wells Fargo <WFC.N> and Citigroup <C.N> falling between 2.4 and 3.8 percent.

Oil prices <LCOc1> <CLc1> also slipped more than $2 per barrel as a potential economic slowdown weighed on prospects for demand.

Tepid U.S. data added to overall growth worries. Data showed new orders for U.S. factory goods fell in May on weak demand for transportation and defense capital goods.

New orders for manufactured goods declined 1.0 percent after two straight months of increases, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

At 2:20 p.m. (1820 GMT), the Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was down 130.39 points, or 0.73 percent, to 17,818.98, the S&P 500 <.SPX> had lost 17.28 points, or 0.82 percent, to 2,085.67 and the Nasdaq Composite <.IXIC> had dropped 50.52 points, or 1.04 percent, to 4,812.04.

Investors have been seeking safe-haven assets in an uncertain economic environment. Weak data from China added to the nervousness stemming from Britain’s vote to leave the EU.

Data from China showed services sector activity hit an 11-month high in June but a composite measure of activity including manufacturing fell to its lowest in four months.

Tesla’s <TSLA.O> shares fell 1.8 percent to $212.67 after the electric car maker missed vehicle delivery targets for the second consecutive quarter.

Netflix <NFLX.O> rose 0.8 percent to $97.45 after it reached an agreement with Comcast <CMCSA.O> for its services to be available on the cable company’s set-top box. Comcast was down 1 percent at $64.60.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by 2,267 to 742, for a 3.06-to-1 ratio on the downside; on the Nasdaq, 2,075 issues fell and 717 advanced for a 2.89-to-1 ratio favoring decliners.

The S&P 500 posted 66 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq recorded 61 new highs and 29 new lows.

(Additional reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan and Tanya Agrawal in Bengaluru; Editing by Don Sebastian and James Dalgleish)

Wall Street set to snap four day rally as worries seep in

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., July 1, 2016

By Yashaswini Swamynathan

(Reuters) – Wall Street was set to open lower for the first time in five days as investors sought shelter in safe-haven assets amid a drop in oil prices and global growth worries.

U.S. government bond yields were at an all-time low as weak data from China added fuel to the uncertainty stemming from Britain’s vote to leave the European Union.

Oil prices fell nearly 3 percent as a potential economic slowdown weighed on prospects of demand.

Shares of oil and gas companies including Exxon, Marathon Oil and Freeport  fell in premarket trading on Tuesday.

Data from China showed that the country’s services sector activity rose to an 11-month high in June, but a composite measure of activity including manufacturing fell to its lowest in four months.

“We have some profit-taking from last week’s rally, but it won’t be anything substantial. As long as yields crumble, they will act as a cushion for the stock market,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial in New York.

The S&amp and the Dow clocked their highest weekly gains for the year last week, recovering from a two-day selloff that robbed global markets off $3 trillion.

The Bank of England said the outlook for UK’s financial stability post-Brexit was “challenging” and said it would lower the amount of capital that banks were required to hold in reserve in order to allow them to keep lending.

Dow e-minis were down 109 points, or 0.61 percent at 8:13 a.m. ET.

S&amp 500 e-minis were down 14.25 points, or 0.68 percent, with 361,295 contracts traded.

Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 29.75 points, or 0.67 percent, on volume of 39,784 contracts.

Wall Street closed down higher on Friday as investor sentiment was buoyed by strong manufacturing data.

The Commerce Department will release a report on Tuesday that is expected to show that new orders for manufacturing goods fell by 1 percent in May, compared to 1.9 percent in April. The data is expected at 10:00 a.m. ET.

While traders do not expect the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank to raise interest rates this year, they will keenly watch policymakers’ comments on what the Fed’s next step would be.

New York Fed President William Dudley is scheduled to participate in a discussion in Binghamton, New York at 2:30 p.m. ET (1830 GMT).

The Fed’s next policy meeting is on July 26-27.

Tesla’s shares fell 4.3 percent to $207.45 after the electric car maker missed vehicle deliveries target for the second consecutive quarter.

Diagnostic test maker Illumina fell 3.3 percent to $136.07 after Morgan Stanley cut its rating to “underweight”. The stock was the biggest percentage loser among S&amp components.

(Reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan in Bengaluru; Editing by Don Sebastian)

In Brexit month, investors dump shares, flee for safety of cash

A man is reflected in an electronic board showing the graph of the recent fluctuations of the TOPIX

By Sujata Rao

LONDON (Reuters) – Global investors bought real estate, added to cash holdings and cut equity allocations to the lowest in at least five years as this month’s shock Brexit vote added to an already toxic mix of sluggish world growth and volatile markets.

The monthly Reuters survey of 44 fund managers and chief investment officers in the United States, Europe, Japan and Britain was conducted between June 15-29, straddling the June 23 referendum in which Britons voted to leave the European Union.

The verdict, which drove sterling to 31-year lows and wiped $2 trillion off world stocks, heralds intense political and economic uncertainty for the UK, with likely repercussions for the euro zone as well as the rest of the world.

Close to two-thirds of poll responses were received after the vote, but many of those who responded beforehand said they had positioned defensively, given the uncertainties already roiling world markets.

This includes the looming U.S. presidential election which could bring victory for Republican Donald Trump – an outcome that two-thirds of those who responded to a special question said would have negative consequences.

Allocations to cash stood at 6.8 percent on average, having risen every month since February and the highest since last June, the survey showed.

In almost every region, investors dumped shares, with the average global holding at 45 percent, the lowest since before May 2011 at least and down from nearly 50 at the end of last year.

European funds’ equity allocations hit the lowest in over four years.

“We expect a risk-off attitude in financial markets to continue as investors digest the potential impact of Brexit and as geopolitical risks remain high,” said Matteo Germano, global head of multi-asset investments at Pioneer Investment.

Germano predicted a knock-on hit to commodity prices, while gold and U.S. Treasuries benefited. On equities, European and UK-focused stocks warranted caution, he said, adding:

“With increased geopolitical risk in Europe, the U.S. dollar should behave as a safe haven.”

Year-to-date, euro zone and UK stocks have lost some 10 percent and U.S. equities are just 2 percent in the black – a consequence also of stubbornly weak economic growth, U.S. rate rise expectations and fears of a sharp slowdown in China.

However, many investors noted that equity markets worldwide were already starting to claw back Brexit-fueled losses.

“Unquestionably, we have seen an extraordinary amount of money withdrawn from the global equity markets on Brexit worries,” Peter Lowman, CIO at Investment Quorum, a UK wealth manager.

But it was not “a Lehman moment”, he said.

Portfolios at HFM Columbus Asset Management were positioned cautiously, its investment director Rob Pemberton said, citing “more global concerns – global growth, Fed monetary policy, China.”

Property as an asset class was also in demand, its weight rising to 2.9 percent, also the highest in at least five years.

Bond allocations rose slightly to 38.1 percent.

TRUMP IMPACT

The full impact of Brexit is likely still ahead, as there is little certainty over when proceedings will formally begin to divorce the country from the EU, and how long they could take.

But even in the run-up to Brexit, investors were fretting about another potential speed bump – U.S. elections and the possibility of a Trump win.

Many say his proposals for reshaping the trade and diplomatic ties of the world’s largest economy, his anti-immigration rhetoric and questions about Treasury obligations create as much market uncertainty as the Brexit issue.

Asked how a Trump presidency could impact U.S. and global equities, two-thirds of those who replied saw it as negative. Some also cited fears that a Trump win on the heels of Brexit could encourage populist parties across Europe.

A Trump win would “increase the geopolitical risk at a worldwide level”, said Nadege Dufosse, head of asset allocation at Candriam.

ECB HEADACHE

One consequence of the Brexit jitters is the fresh slump in bond yields, with over $11 trillion in government bonds now yielding less than zero, and German 10-year yields falling into negative territory earlier in the month.

German yield falls below the European Central Bank’s deposit rate will exacerbate the acute scarcity of bonds eligible for the ECB’s asset purchase program. That could pressure it to cut interest rates further to accommodate these bonds.

But just a quarter of the June survey participants who answered a special question on the subject thought the ECB would run out of bonds to buy.

“Markets have indeed been pricing in the possibility that the ECB would come up against practical limits on its purchases of government bonds by 2017,” said Andrew Milligan at Standard Life Investments.

But the ECB has already broadened the range of instruments eligible for its 1.7 trillion euro stimulus plan, he noted, referring to its recent move into high-grade corporate debt.

Jan Bopp, asset allocation strategist at Bank J. Safra Sarasin disagreed, predicting that unless criteria were changed, the ECB would run out of bonds by December.

“This in itself is feeding the bond market rally as the ECB needs to move further along the yield curve to purchase bonds,” he added.

(Additional reporting by Karin Strohecker, Massimo Gaia and Hari Kishan; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Wall Street opens higher as bargain hunt begins

Specialist traders work inside a post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange

(Reuters) – U.S. stocks opened sharply higher on Tuesday as investors rushed to pick up stocks beaten down by the fears and uncertainty surrounding Britain’s decision to exit the European Union.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 117.62 points, or 0.69 percent, at 17,257.86, the S&amp;P 500 was up 14.78 points, or 0.74 percent, at 2,015.32 and the Nasdaq composite was up 50.67 points, or 1.1 percent, at 4,645.11.

(Reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan in Bengaluru)